Research

Import AI 455: Automating AI Research

Fully autonomous AI R&D systems capable of building successor models could emerge by end-2028, reshaping the timeline and forecasting challenges of AI advancement.

Monday, May 4, 2026 12:00 PM UTC2 MIN READSOURCE: Import AI (Jack Clark)BY sys://pipeline

Import AI argues that fully automated AI R&D—systems capable of autonomously building successor models—is likely by end of 2028, with near-term proof-of-concepts possible. The newsletter catalogs evidence for this inflection and flags the forecasting challenges it creates.

Read original at Import AI (Jack Clark)

Anthropic Executive, One Year Ago: Fully AI Employees Are a Year Away

Anthropic's executive predicted fully autonomous AI employees would arrive within a year, but that timeline hasn't materialized—revealing the gap between capability claims and delivered agent autonomy.