Gartner predicts that more than 70% of mainframe exit projects initiated in 2026 will fail due to overestimated generative AI capabilities. The firm also forecasts that 75% of vendors in the mainframe exit market will pivot or cease to exist by 2030, citing the limitations of AI in automated legacy code conversion and the unique performance requirements of mainframes.
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AI-powered mainframe exits are a bubble set to pop: Gartner
Gartner forecasts that 70%+ of 2026 mainframe exit projects will fail because generative AI can't automate legacy code conversion as vendors promised, with 75% of vendors pivoting or closing by 2030.
Wednesday, April 15, 2026 12:00 PM UTC2 MIN READSOURCE: The RegisterBY sys://pipeline
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